Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.851183 0.957037 1.072373 1.207602 1.362103 1.533452 1.738341
2025-02-02 0.696494 0.841795 1.013320 1.231748 1.503927 1.833746 2.266456
2025-02-09 0.606047 0.767911 0.969340 1.240402 1.598626 2.059977 2.705815
2025-02-16 0.540207 0.711073 0.932998 1.245458 1.678997 2.266561 3.135593
2025-02-23 0.495714 0.674349 0.915141 1.267862 1.778780 2.503440 3.629747
2025-03-02 0.442979 0.619532 0.865092 1.237125 1.796269 2.621139 3.959931
2025-03-09 0.415260 0.596271 0.855681 1.261638 1.893956 2.863261 4.504986
2025-03-16 0.381703 0.560864 0.824452 1.248921 1.931400 3.014151 4.919960
2025-03-23 0.358749 0.538853 0.810569 1.260345 2.006087 3.229478 5.465794
2025-03-30 0.331861 0.508295 0.780500 1.242334 2.029569 3.360803 5.879715
2025-04-06 0.310340 0.484251 0.758356 1.234548 2.068220 3.520069 6.361406
2025-04-13 0.281861 0.446789 0.711491 1.180718 2.021202 3.522471 6.547655
2025-04-20 0.269559 0.435209 0.706765 1.199686 2.106778 3.776480 7.260630
2025-04-27 0.258772 0.425330 0.704081 1.221963 2.200695 4.056788 8.067314
2025-05-04 0.246679 0.412207 0.694596 1.230708 2.269434 4.295315 8.819689
2025-05-11 0.235053 0.398976 0.683764 1.235703 2.330915 4.525451 9.586010
2025-05-18 0.226968 0.391361 0.682252 1.257913 2.428233 4.838895 10.584035
2025-05-25 0.212047 0.370381 0.654804 1.227445 2.415254 4.918817 11.052358
2025-06-01 0.205732 0.364685 0.655184 1.251743 2.518174 5.259482 12.195124
2025-06-08 0.195124 0.350270 0.638036 1.239138 2.541035 5.425070 12.930010
2025-06-15 0.188244 0.342412 0.632834 1.250461 2.616780 5.718791 14.037192
2025-06-22 0.178434 0.328304 0.614462 1.232608 2.625648 5.857341 14.756767
2025-06-29 0.170452 0.317249 0.601370 1.224889 2.656696 6.052160 15.660412